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History of Term Insurance Premiums
How Did Compulife Create These Graphs?
Background
The initial History of Term Life Insurance Premiums web page and graphs represents hundreds of hours of work. The premiums for 6 companies, for 3 different level categories, for 5 different health classes, for 60 months, were quoted and individually posted to a spreadsheet. The spreadsheet was then used to average the lowest 6 premiums for that category and class, and the 900 results were then used to produce the graphs. In total the graphs that you see here are the result of 5,400 individual term insurance premiums.
The work to accomplish this task started in 2006 when Compulife began the process of gathering together, in one place, the past monthly editions of the Compulife Quotation System. The complete history spans a period from 1990 to 2007. The original purpose of doing so was to produce a "Compulife Historical CD" which Compulife subscribers could purchase.
Compulife now offers that Historical CD to our subscribers for $99. CLICK HERE for more information about the historical CD.
The CD contains the approximately 200 monthly editions. To create this we have gone back and installed copies of past monthly updates unto a single hard drive. Each monthly update was then run and initialized. Each monthly update was then compressed into "zip" files which can be transferred to a single CD. Each CD is created individually, and includes each edition of Compulife from April 1990 up to and including the immediate preceding month of the CD order.
The reason for assembling a CD was to give Compulife subscribers, who wanted a past record of term insurance policies and rates, an easy way to re-install old editions of the Compulife program.
This data is also useful to life insurance companies who want to track past trends in pricing changes.
The other reason that Compulife organized this historical CD was that we are frequently asked by the media for both current and historical pricing information. Generally media interest concerns term insurance pricing trends. With that in mind, and with access to the month to month editions of Compulife in a single place, we decided to compile information from those editions and produce a graphic analysis of pricing trends for the past 10 years. The graphs are provided here:
www.term4sale.com/ratehistory.html
These graphs are Compulife's first step in providing historical analysis on a broad graphical basis. While the first series of graphs took hundreds of hours, the next set will be easier to generate. At this point Compulife will wait and gauge the response and see whether there is further demand for alternative scenarios. We will try to provide additional graphic examples as demand is identified and as time permits. If there is significant commercial demand for this type of graphic analysis, Compulife may spend the money and time to automate the process, which would allow us to include only certain companies or groups of companies.
What Do the Graphs Represent?
The graphs show the month to month average premiums for the 6 least expensive term policies for 15 different scenarios, over a period of 120 months.
First, there are three basic forms of level term insurance used in the graphs:
NOTE: It is Compulife's view that the most popular term life insurance plan in today's market is 20 level premium year term. We make that assumption based upon the simple fact that there are more 20 year level term products offered by life insurance companies than any other level period. Second in popularity is 30 year level term followed by 10 year level term.
20 year level term was not always the most popular level term. For many years the most popular level term policy sold in the United States was ART (annually renewable term) or YRT (yearly renewable term). Approximately twenty years ago 10 year term emerged into the market and it quickly and successfully competed with the ART/YRT alternatives. Not long after that 20 year term emerged and by 1997, when these graphs begin, 20 year term was becoming equally popular to 10 year term. Ten years ago ART/YRT products were fading fast. In 1997 30 year term was just emerging as a product alternative. Its popularity has grown steadily although it is still not as popular as 20 year term. Part of the reason for that is due to the maximum issue age for 30 year term. The policy is commonly not available to insurance buyers over age 50. Many companies offer 20 year term all the way to age 65. ART/YRT products, while still available in the market, are not as competitive as 10, 20 or 30 year level term and very few ART/YRT products are being purchased.
Second, there are three 5 basic health classes for each of the 3 level term categories. Those classes are "generically" named by Compulife as:
- Preferred Plus Non-Smoker
- Preferred Non-Smoker
- Regular Non-Smoker
- Preferred Smoker
- Regular Smoker
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